Water Management in Agriculture

Water Management in Agriculture

Sensitivity Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration and Evaluation of ERA5, CFSv2 and MERRA2 meteorological Datasets

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
rahman barideh 1
fereshteh nasimi 2
1 Ph. D in Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Tabriz, Iran
2 Ph. D Candidate of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, Department of Water Sciences, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran
Abstract
The purpose of this research was to investigate the sensitivity of reference evapotranspiration to meteorological variables and to introduce the most accurate database in providing these variables in the Urmia Lake basin. For this purpose, 24 synoptic stations were selected and their meteorological data was prepared on a daily basis between 2010 and 2019. Then, the reference evapotranspiration was calculated using the FAO-Penman-Monteith equation, and the effect of changes in meteorological variables on ET0 was investigated individually in the range of ±20%. In the next step, the accuracy of ERA5, CFSv2 and MERRA2 meteorological data was evaluated and the most accurate one was introduced. The ten-year average of reference evapotranspiration of the meteorological stations was obtained 3.1 mm d-1, and the results showed that the maximum temperature is the most influential meteorological variable on reference evapotranspiration changes. After that, wind speed and minimum temperature had the greatest effect, respectively. The value of sensitivity coefficient for maximum temperature, wind speed and minimum temperature was obtained 0.4, 0.2 and 0.1 respectively. In the review of meteorological data of ERA5, CFSv2 and MERRA2, statistical indicators showed that the ERA5 dataset has the most accuracy. Based on the results, the 10-year average of reference evapotranspiration of the ERA5 was obtained 2.86 mm d-1 and according to the CRM index, this value was 8% underestimated compared to the value obtained from meteorological stations. Finally, the values of EF indices equal to 0.92 and nRMSE equal to 0.17 put the reference evapotranspiration of the ERA5 in a suitable and reliable rank.
Keywords
Sensitivity analysis
FAO Penman-Monteith
Reference evapotranspiration
Global meteorological dataset
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